it would be embarrassing to polling "Gurus" only because people don't understand probability. Biden having a 90 percent shot doesn't mean we can't end up with the one-in-ten scenario instead of the nine-in-ten. Improbable and impossible aren't the same thing.
I hear you but it's not necessarily the pollsters' fault (or all their fault). Some of it is in the interpretation. The media is also interpreting polling results in a specific and sometimes erroneous way. For example, the NYT said that Biden is narrowly going to win Florida based on recent polls. That's just not true. He has a 3 point lead but the margin of error is 3.2 points. So he's actually NOT predicted to win Florida. At best, it's a toss up.
you aren't going to benefit from some random stranger's calculation regret but you will surely suffer from the collapse of civilization and the final nail in the coffin of our country and the earth's future.
No, I don’t think it would be amusing.
Will be the last nail in the coffin for mainstream media, that's for sure.
Why the media and not the pollsters?
Because people lie to pollsters whereas media gets the story and butchers it with a biased agenda
it would be embarrassing to polling "Gurus" only because people don't understand probability. Biden having a 90 percent shot doesn't mean we can't end up with the one-in-ten scenario instead of the nine-in-ten. Improbable and impossible aren't the same thing.
I hear you but it's not necessarily the pollsters' fault (or all their fault). Some of it is in the interpretation. The media is also interpreting polling results in a specific and sometimes erroneous way. For example, the NYT said that Biden is narrowly going to win Florida based on recent polls. That's just not true. He has a 3 point lead but the margin of error is 3.2 points. So he's actually NOT predicted to win Florida. At best, it's a toss up.
you aren't going to benefit from some random stranger's calculation regret but you will surely suffer from the collapse of civilization and the final nail in the coffin of our country and the earth's future.
Not to be dramatic or anything . . .
The NYT is busting out the big guns with an op-ed by Michiko Kakutani! https://news.yahoo.com/op-ed-democracies-around-world-101028070.html
She is sure to convince those undecided steelworkers in PA that remember her fondly from her heyday in the 1980s