No, I don't think so. We are only a few months away from having at least one vaccine option. If they prioritize essential workers (and include teachers this time) and if numbers in kids stay low, I would anticipate reopening in March or April.
This 3rd wave was so widely and correctly predicted to land around Thanksgiving that I wonder if the predictions that it will be over by Feb are also right? You can look at previous spikes for guidance. And maybe people will give us other data points to watch. Does that fall agreement between the city and the UFT include guidance on reopening? Those details should (re)surface soon as other people ask this same question.
@Anonymous I think sometime in February or March rates will finally fall below 3% that this will even be on the table. Plenty of time for DeBlasio and Carranza to come up with a reopening plan (snark). Sadly, I think cases will jump after Thanksgiving, and again after Christmas and will take some weeks under continued restrictions to get down. I hope I am wrong and its sooner. I think if rates stay higher than 3% thru May then there will be no initiative for the DOE to open schools for such a short time - why bother. The question is will the UFT (as hinted at by some comments from Mulgrew recently) negotiate away from a Citywide 3% to a location/cluster model instead?
No, I don't think so. We are only a few months away from having at least one vaccine option. If they prioritize essential workers (and include teachers this time) and if numbers in kids stay low, I would anticipate reopening in March or April.
This 3rd wave was so widely and correctly predicted to land around Thanksgiving that I wonder if the predictions that it will be over by Feb are also right? You can look at previous spikes for guidance. And maybe people will give us other data points to watch. Does that fall agreement between the city and the UFT include guidance on reopening? Those details should (re)surface soon as other people ask this same question.
even if it is over in February, I think there will be such inertia that it will be hard to reopen. I hope I'm wrong.
@Anonymous I think sometime in February or March rates will finally fall below 3% that this will even be on the table. Plenty of time for DeBlasio and Carranza to come up with a reopening plan (snark). Sadly, I think cases will jump after Thanksgiving, and again after Christmas and will take some weeks under continued restrictions to get down. I hope I am wrong and its sooner. I think if rates stay higher than 3% thru May then there will be no initiative for the DOE to open schools for such a short time - why bother. The question is will the UFT (as hinted at by some comments from Mulgrew recently) negotiate away from a Citywide 3% to a location/cluster model instead?