It's because Cuomo quit following any sort of scientific opening metrics. Restaurants indoor even though numbers are still high and then add sports venues, gyms and now people think they can do whatever.
It's not just him. It seems that every state is doing this, not because there is any science behind it but because they've just up and decided "it's time". Crazy.
I bet you're right
Where do you see that?? I'm looking here: https://forward.ny.gov/percentage-positive-results-region-dashboard
NYC and NYS have different methods of measuring the rate. My understanding is that NYS includes rapid tests and NYC does not.
Twitter - NYC gov site
The numbers of tests being done each day have gone down too. Could that have something to do with it? People aren't getting tested to go to gatherings anymore (maybe they just don't care anymore), so maybe people are only getting tested if they feel sick/been exposed/need it for something?
7.82% positivity rate average over the last 7 days. That is high.
I think we are not testing asymptomatic people as much anymore. It used to be health care workers and frontline workers tested all the time and now they are mostly vaccinated. Also people would test before they saw their family and now that the older people are vaccinated, they aren't doing that anymore. so the percent of people testing positive is higher because only people who are sick are testing.
I agree. The positivity rate was not meant to measure case prevalence as much as to judge whether there is adequate testing. So, to me, the constant positivity rate coupled with the falling case numbers means that testing is adequate and cases are actually falling (not solely a result of lower testing). As the poster above said, we have to ask ourselves who is testing and why. Naturally, as more people get vaccinated, less people will test.
Anecdotally, I walked past a site which had been doing covid tests. Several months ago, the line was down the block. Recently, there was no line, but the vaccination line was extensive.
Anecdata also, but my office, which is only 20% open, had 5 positive cases this past week. We are so not out of the woods...
Many private schools have been testing weekly (collectively contributing thousands of negative tests each week and very few positives) but didn’t test this week due to spring break for the next two. Maybe that’s contributing a bit.
NYS is collecting data on that type of testing, but to my knowledge, NYC is only looking at PCR, so that change would not be captured in their results.
Private schools are using PCR.
@anonymous Ok, the private schools I knew of were using pools or rapid tests.
Look at it by zip code.
I talked with an MD about this today, said that the number of people hospitalized is way down, things are looking better.
I'm just not seeing it in the data unfortunately. NY Forward shows the infection rates increasing in NY State, and hospitalizations and deaths went up recently too. NYC is pretty stuck at 4000 cases/day. It's just not going well and I don't understand why everyone is suddenly acting like everything is fine, and we're opening up everything!
@anonymous I dont know why its not showing in the data you are looking at but if you talk to people who work in hospitals they will all tell you that its so much better lately.
@Anon https://forward.ny.gov/percentage-positive-results-region-dashboard and also Gothamist.